84th Annual Academy Award Nomination Predictions
Do you ever get that feeling that something crazy or unexpected is about to happen? Well, if it is, it’s in the hands of the vote counters now. Yesterday was the final day for Academy voters to submit their votes for nominees for the 84th Academy Awards. Unlike last year when it seemed pretty obvious which movies would take home Hollywood’s top prizes (The Social Network and The King’s Speech,) this year there is a lot of speculation and back-and-forth jibber-jabber over who and what film is worthy to take home the golden statue.
Below are picks from the 10 most popular categories. Come January 24th when the nominations are revealed I may be proven wrong in many of my picks, but I’ve followed this year’s award race intensely and I think I’ve systematically and wisely made some good picks.
Best Picture
1. The Descendants
2. The Artist
3. The Help
4. Hugo
5. Moneyball
6. Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
7. Midnight in Paris
8. Bridesmaids
9. War Horse
10. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Remember that the Academy changed their rules in this category. To make it more competitive, they decided that there can be anywhere from five to 10 nominees. However, those nominees must receive at least 5% of the no. 1 vote, so expect to see the first five as lock-ins, but all the rest could easy make it into the nominees. The Descendants and The Artist are gaining steam as the top contenders, but as we learned in 2006 with the pick of Crash and The Hurt Locker in 2010 the Academy can provide some amazing surprises.
You may be surprised to see Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy and Bridesmaids, but after the amount of attention both got in the BAFTA and Golden Globe awards voters may have changed their decisions. Perception is a powerful tool during awards season.
Best Actor
1. George Clooney, The Descendants
2. Jean Dujardin, The Artist
3. Brad Pitt, Moneyball
4. Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
5. Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
It’s probably a two horse race between Clooney and Dujardin, but ponder Shannon and Oldman as possible surprises.
Best Actress
1. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
2. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
3. Viola Davis, The Help
4. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
5. Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Rooney Mara’s performance was chilling, and that performance may have persuaded some of the younger voters to recognize this young lady. As of right now though, after the BFCA and Golden Globe Awards, it looks like Michelle Williams, Meryl Streep and Viola Davis are going to be the competing trio.
Supporting Actor
1. Christopher Plummer, The Beginners
2. Jonah Hill, Moneyball
3. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
4. Ben Kingsley, Hugo
5. Albert Brooks, Drive
This is perhaps the most up-in-the-air category. Plummer, Hill and Branagh will definitely get nods, but the final two are anyone’s guess.
Supporting Actress
1. Octavia Spencer, The Help
2. Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
3. Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
4. Jessica Chastain, The Help
5. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Spencer won both the Golden Globes and the BFCA, and she is nominated in the Screen Actor Guild Awards. As of now she’s the runaway favorite.
Best Director
1. Alexander Payne, The Descendants
2. Michel Hazavicious, The Artist
3. Martin Scorsese, Hugo
4. David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
5. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Fincher, Scorsese and Allen are Academy favorites, so don’t be surprised to see them on the list. Remember, Fincher was snubbed last year by The King’s Speech, so voters may have a jotted down their choice with a certain amount of revenge in their hands. All of these titles are nominated in the Director’s Guild Awards as well.
Original Screenplay
1. Midnight in Paris, Woody Allen
2. Bridesmaids, Annie Mumolo and Kristen Wiig
3. The Artist, Michel Hazanavicius
4. 50/50, Will Reiser
5. Win Win, Tom McCarthy
Midnight in Paris is unstoppable in this category. It won at the Golden Globes and was nominated in the Writer’s Guild Awards. Allen is an Academy favorite, and I don’t think voters could resist this movie’s romantic charm.
Adapted Screenplay
1. Moneyball, Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin
2. Hugo, John Logan
3. The Descendants, Alexander Payne
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Steven Zaillian
5. My Week With Marilyn, Adrian Hodges and Colin Clark
My Week with Marilyn has just enough buzz and nomination juice to squeeze in, but when the ceremony rolls around on February 26th it’s going to be all about Moneyball, Hugo and The Descendants.
Animated Film
1. Rango, Gore Verbinski and John B. Carls
2. The Adventures of TinTin, Steven Spielberg, Peter Jackson and Kathleen Kennedy
Okay, I know there will be five nominees, but if you think any other movie but one of these two will win you might want to reconsider. Rango and TinTin are the favorites among the Hollywood Foreign Press and every Guild out there. This race is down to two.
Score
1. Girl With The Dragon Tattoo, Atticus Ross and Trent Reznor
2. War Horse, John Williams
3. Hugo, Howard Shore
4. The Artist, Ludovic Bource
5. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, Alexandre Desplat
This category is creeping into the spotlight, especially after last year’s controversy when The Social Network beat out Inception. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Hugo and The Artist are the three strong front runners, but Alexandre Desplat’s melodically chilling soundtrack could make the fifth spot.
As the days progress, and more Guild awards are given, a frontrunner may emerge, but for right now it looks like the 84th Academy Awards is going to be one of several shocks, suprsises, ohs and ahs. We’re looking at competitions between new and old Hollywood. No matter what side the Academy voters chose, make sure you tune into the ceremony on February 26th. I have a hunch it’s going to be one of the most interesting in recent memory.
Do you ever get that feeling that something crazy or unexpected is about to happen? Well, if it is, it’s in the hands of the vote counters now. Yesterday was the final day for Academy voters to submit their votes for nominees for the 84th Academy Awards. Unlike last year when it seemed pretty obvious which movies would take home Hollywood’s top prizes (The Social Network and The King’s Speech,) this year there is a lot of speculation and back-and-forth jibber-jabber over who and what film is worthy to take home the golden statue.
Below are picks from the 10 most popular categories. Come January 24th when the nominations are revealed I may be proven wrong in many of my picks, but I’ve followed this year’s award race intensely and I think I’ve systematically and wisely made some good picks.
Best Picture
1. The Descendants
3. The Help
4. Hugo
5. Moneyball
6. Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
7. Midnight in Paris
8. Bridesmaids
9. War Horse
10. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Remember that the Academy changed their rules in this category. To make it more competitive, they decided that there can be anywhere from five to 10 nominees. However, those nominees must receive at least 5% of the no. 1 vote, so expect to see the first five as lock-ins, but all the rest could easy make it into the nominees. The Descendants and The Artist are gaining steam as the top contenders, but as we learned in 2006 with the pick of Crash and The Hurt Locker in 2010 the Academy can provide some amazing surprises.
You may be surprised to see Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy and Bridesmaids, but after the amount of attention both got in the BAFTA and Golden Globe awards voters may have changed their decisions. Perception is a powerful tool during awards season.
Best Actor
1. George Clooney, The Descendants
2. Jean Dujardin, The Artist
3. Brad Pitt, Moneyball
4. Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
5. Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
It’s probably a two horse race between Clooney and Dujardin, but ponder Shannon and Oldman as possible surprises.
Best Actress
1. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
2. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
3. Viola Davis, The Help
4. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
5. Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Rooney Mara’s performance was chilling, and that performance may have persuaded some of the younger voters to recognize this young lady. As of right now though, after the BFCA and Golden Globe Awards, it looks like Michelle Williams, Meryl Streep and Viola Davis are going to be the competing trio.
Supporting Actor
1. Christopher Plummer, The Beginners
2. Jonah Hill, Moneyball
3. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
4. Ben Kingsley, Hugo
5. Albert Brooks, Drive
This is perhaps the most up-in-the-air category. Plummer, Hill and Branagh will definitely get nods, but the final two are anyone’s guess.
Supporting Actress
1. Octavia Spencer, The Help
2. Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
3. Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
4. Jessica Chastain, The Help
5. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Spencer won both the Golden Globes and the BFCA, and she is nominated in the Screen Actor Guild Awards. As of now she’s the runaway favorite.
Best Director
1. Alexander Payne, The Descendants
2. Michel Hazavicious, The Artist
3. Martin Scorsese, Hugo
4. David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
5. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Fincher, Scorsese and Allen are Academy favorites, so don’t be surprised to see them on the list. Remember, Fincher was snubbed last year by The King’s Speech, so voters may have a jotted down their choice with a certain amount of revenge in their hands. All of these titles are nominated in the Director’s Guild Awards as well.
Original Screenplay
1. Midnight in Paris, Woody Allen
2. Bridesmaids, Annie Mumolo and Kristen Wiig
3. The Artist, Michel Hazanavicius
4. 50/50, Will Reiser
5. Win Win, Tom McCarthy
Midnight in Paris is unstoppable in this category. It won at the Golden Globes and was nominated in the Writer’s Guild Awards. Allen is an Academy favorite, and I don’t think voters could resist this movie’s romantic charm.
Adapted Screenplay
1. Moneyball, Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin
2. Hugo, John Logan
3. The Descendants, Alexander Payne
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Steven Zaillian
5. My Week With Marilyn, Adrian Hodges and Colin Clark
My Week with Marilyn has just enough buzz and nomination juice to squeeze in, but when the ceremony rolls around on February 26th it’s going to be all about Moneyball, Hugo and The Descendants.
Animated Film
1. Rango, Gore Verbinski and John B. Carls
2. The Adventures of TinTin, Steven Spielberg, Peter Jackson and Kathleen Kennedy
Okay, I know there will be five nominees, but if you think any other movie but one of these two will win you might want to reconsider. Rango and TinTin are the favorites among the Hollywood Foreign Press and every Guild out there. This race is down to two.
Score
1. Girl With The Dragon Tattoo, Atticus Ross and Trent Reznor
2. War Horse, John Williams
3. Hugo, Howard Shore
4. The Artist, Ludovic Bource
5. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, Alexandre Desplat
This category is creeping into the spotlight, especially after last year’s controversy when The Social Network beat out Inception. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Hugo and The Artist are the three strong front runners, but Alexandre Desplat’s melodically chilling soundtrack could make the fifth spot.
As the days progress, and more Guild awards are given, a frontrunner may emerge, but for right now it looks like the 84th Academy Awards is going to be one of several shocks, suprsises, ohs and ahs. We’re looking at competitions between new and old Hollywood. No matter what side the Academy voters chose, make sure you tune into the ceremony on February 26th. I have a hunch it’s going to be one of the most interesting in recent memory.
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